Can Denver Broncos make point spread against Oakland Raiders in week 14?
Published December 4, 2012 | 
Will the Denver Broncos make the point spread against the Oakland Raiders in week 14?
If you have read any of my previous articles you may have already picked up on the fact that I am a fan of Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos. In fact until last night’s game between the Washington Redskins and the New York Giants I was starting to think that the super bowl could actually be the Broncos-Giants this year.
Now that could still happen, and I make look closer at that if I get the chance to review their upcoming game with the Saints, but today’s article is about the week 14 game with the Raiders and Broncos.
Looking at the line this morning at a number of bookies, Denver is picked to win the Thursday night game by 10 points or more. Bet Online and Sportsbetting each had them at 10.5 and Bet Fred had them at 10 points.
On paper I think the Broncos have the best chance to win this game but it has often been said that “In this league there are no gimmie’s”. That means Denver can not just walk in to the stadium and sit on their butts and not work to get the win. Let’s take a look at each team a little to see what could possibly take place.
These two met earlier in the season during week 4 with the Broncos winning that game 37 to 6. Things have not been going exceptionally well for the Raiders this year and they have had a few injuries to key players that have hurt them in a number of games. They are on a 5 game losing streak so they have absolutely no momentum coming in to this game.
Running back Taiwan Jones may play this week and that certainly has the potential to help them with their running game. Quarterback Carson Palmer threw for 63% last week against the Browns but that was against a defense ranked 27th and I just don’t think that he will be quite as effective against the Broncos defense currently ranked number 5.
Palmer does have some very talented receivers and the biggest possible threats are likely Denarius Moore and Marcell Reece as well as tight end Brandon Myers, but in the end this will this be enough? Not likely.
Should I bet the Broncos and give up the points?
In my opinion yes you should. In fact with the line floating around the 10 to 12 point mark, I think that is a safe bet. I would probably take the bet even if the spread was 14 points and probably more. Don’t forget that they won the game in week 4 with them by more than 4 touchdowns.
The justification for that is simple to explain with one name. Peyton Manning. He is one of the best quarterbacks in the game of football. I have said this before during this season, but will repeat it here again today.
He is one of the most intelligent men at the position. He reads a defensive line better than most others, and he thinks fast under pressure allowing him to make adjustments by calling audibles and making play changes better than any quarterback playing today. This talent has won games in the past and it will be that kind of talent that will be needed against the Ravens in less than two weeks and could take the Broncos into the Division playoffs.
Not only will Manning be looking for guys like Demaryius Thomas, Eric Decker and Jacob Tamme in the air, but I also think they will work on their running game a bit. I am sure there will be plenty of play action, but the game on the ground does need a little bit of work and the Raiders game is the perfect opportunity for them to get a bit more touches and build a little more confidence.
Running back Willis McGahee is over 700 yards and although he hasn’t been running a lot the past few weeks he is the most likely candidate to make a big play on the ground and show the Raiders that the Broncos can be a threat on the ground also.
I think the game on Thursday night will be a good one and I enjoy watching Manning and the Broncos play. If you plan on betting on the football game, my money says bet on the Broncos and give up the points.
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Second Half Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars week 13
Published December 2, 2012 | Buffalo Bills against Jacksonville Jaguars 2nd half recap in week 13
Buffalo is first to receive and if they can continue with the momentum from the first half Jacksonville could easily find themselves in a position that would be very difficult to climb out of.
A first down once again by C.J. Spiller. Fred Jackson then makes a nice run right up the center and gets another first down and the ball is on the 34. They give it to Brad Smith and he runs 17 yards for another first down.
A roughing the passer call on the Jaguars really cost them and the Bills get the first down and the ball is on the 8 with a 1st and goal. A pass to Steve Johnson in the end zone and the Bills extend their lead to 14 points with a score of 24 Buffalo to 10 Jacksonville.
The Jaguars need to start converting their possessions into points immediately and con not longer allow unanswered points on their drives. On a 3rd and short not quite into Bills territory gives Jacksonville their first down just past mid field.
Then another penalty against the Bills and the Jaguars get another 1st. But on a 4th and 5 they do not convert so Buffalo gets the ball back on downs with good field position. Even after moving down field they are unable to convert a 3rd down and take a 50 yard field goal and push their lead further.
Jacksonville can not do anything with the next possession and punts again. As the 3rd quarter ends the score stands at Buffalo 27 to Jacksonville 10, and Buffalo has the ball with a clear lead.
C.J. Spiller breaks a tackle and runs over 40 yards into the end zone putting another 6 up which pretty much seals the game for the Bills. With the extra point the Bills move to 34 to Jaguars 10.
Jacksonville once again needs to punt but a blown catch, considered a fumble and the Jaguars get the ball deep and they get in for the 6 points. They go for the 2 point conversion and it takes the score to Jacksonville 18 to Buffalo 34.
Jacksonville is playing a little better late in the third quarter but it appears to be too little too late for them. They get the ball back with fair field position but with about 8 minutes left in the game they are down by 16 points.
In order to get this game back they would need to make up 3 scores and I just don’t see Henne is the kind of quarterback to pull that off. Clearly it will not happen for the Jaguars and Buffalo gets the ball back.
Since it is getting close to 4 o’clock this is actually one time that I am hoping if this game goes over on time that the Network would change the game channel on me. I am just trying to decide whether to watch the the Steelers-Ravens game ot Denver beat up on Tampa.
Jacksonville gets the ball back again and may well end the game with possession. At the 2 minute warning it’s Jacksonville ball with a first down, but they are down by 16.
The drive falls apart for them and they do not convert on 4th down so Buffalo will get the ball back on downs on their own 27. All they need do now is run a few plays on the ground and get a first down. They do not get the first down so they will punt the football and give Jacksonville one last possession before the end of the game but will have less than a minute left on the clock.
On first down the Bills come up with an interception by Jairus Byrd. They only need take a knee and win the game. The final score Buffalo Bills 34 to Jacksonville Jaguars 18.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills 1st Half week 13
Published December 2, 2012 | 1st half recap of Jacksonville Jaguars against Buffalo Bills in week 13
Two teams, both in last place in their divisions both have quite a bit of reason to want to win, but things are looking grim for them both. The number show the Bills still have a small shot this year but looking over what would have to take place in today’s football games, I just do not see it happening.
I am not exactly sure who picked this game for the network, and since I live in Florida I do like to follow the Florida but honestly I would have preferred to watch one of the other games like the Texans or the Bears.
Jacksonville gets the ball first and starts from the 22. Good coverage on 2nd down and the play is broken up and then on a 3rd and 5 the pass is incomplete so the Jaguars punt the ball after a 3 and out.
Ryan Fitzpatrick has a play falling apart and instead runs it himself and gets the first down. On a second and short they get the 1st down again so the Bills first possession is starting to look like they are putting together a scoring drive to start the game.
Then a great pass to T.J. Graham and the Bills have the ball on the 1. Then quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick pushes his way in and gets the score. The Buffalo Bills take the early lead and the score is 7 Buffalo to 0 Jacksonville.
The next Jaguar drive is already looking better and they get a 1st down on a second and 2. Once again though the Bills defense stops the Jacksonville drive and they must punt again.
On the next drive the Bills can not convert on a 3rd down and they punt the ball for the first time and the Jaguars will start with decent field position with the ball on the 30.
On a 1st and 20 after a holding call on 1st down the Jaguars get a nice pass to Marcedes Lewis and they get a first down. A holding call on the Bills negates a fumble and Bills recovery, and then a blown play and Jacksonville finds themselves in a 3rd and 17. The next pass to Cecil Shorts gets the first down and keeps the drive alive.
They can not convert on the 3rd down and need to punt again. Buffalo will get the ball back deep in their own territory at the 11.
As the first quarter comes to an end and they change direction, the score stands at Jacksonville 0 to Buffalo 7. The Bills have possession of the ball and it is 2nd and 9 with the football on the 12 yard line.
C Spiller gets the first down but on the next play the Jaguars gets a pick with Paul Posluszny getting the interception so it will be Jacksonville ball.
Jacksonville gets the first down with the ball on the 3 but a penalty backs them up to the 18. The Bill defense breaks up each of the next 3 plays and they must take the field goal. Josh Scobee makes the 36 yard kick and the score is Jacksonville 3 to Buffalo 7.
Buffalo pushing and shoving their way there, but they have a nice drive going again doing so mostly on the ground on this drive alternating between Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller. Unable to convert on a 4th and 5 they go for it and they do not get it so Jacksonville will get the ball back on the 37.
They try a pass play on 1st down and get the pass interference call and get the first down. They move the ball to the 41 and then they get another first down with a pass and they are on the 15. Jacksonville gets a first down inside the 5.
Chad Henne runs it in for a touchdown with the Jaguars taking the lead. The score is Jacksonville 10 to Buffalo 7.
A great punt return by Marcus Easley and Buffalo is in Jacksonville territory. At the two minute warning for the first half Buffalo has possession of the football on the 11 yard line with a 3rd and 6. They throw it to Scott Chandler in the end zone and the Bills have the lead back with a score of Buffalo 14 to 10 Jacksonville.
Jacksonville has just under 2 minutes left in the half so they could really get the lead back before half time.
The ball is stripped out of the hands of Chad Henne before he is able to pass it and then recovered by Buffalo gets the ball at the 14 yard line with a little more than a minute and a half. They are unable to convert the 3rd down and take the field goal.
With 30 seconds left in the first half the score is 17 Buffalo to 10 Jacksonville. With not much there for a return, the Jaguars take a knee and go to the locker room for half time.
Can Houston Texans make spread vs Tennessee Titans week 13
Published December 2, 2012 | Will the Sportsbooks’ Favorites Houston Texans cover the spread against the Tennessee Titans in week 13?
This rivalry between two AFC South teams is very much a must win by both teams. Tennessee has a current record of 4 wins and 7 losses and a win today could keep their playoff hopes alive. Houston at 10 and 1 leads the AFC South division, so a win today for them solidifies their position in the division as well as the conference and playoff spot.
The bookies have picked the Texans to win this game by up to 7 points. I noticed that Bet Online had them at 6.5 points last night and had moved it to 7 points today just hours before the game.
The Texans are having a great season and the Titans have struggled with mistakes and just generally need some improvement both in the backfield as well as the secondary. Tennessee has suffered a few injuries to line backers and this could be a portion of their defense issues.
I honestly think the way that Houston is playing that Tennessee just is not strong enough to beat them. Yes they have plenty of incentive, and may even make a few big plays throughout the game, but it just will not be enough.
Quarterback Matt Schaub is completing 64% of his passes and his favorite receivers Kevin Walter and Andre Johnson as well as tight end Owen Daniels will be there today and will be making catches. The Titans defense will be there and try and stop some of those plays, but they just will not be effective enough against Houston’s 3rd ranked offense.
Don’t forget about their running game either. I look for running back Arian Foster to have another big day also. In fact he is alread over 1000 yards for the year and he could comfortably gain over 100 yards in today’s football game.
My thought os the point spread? Yes I do think that Houston will cover the spread, and in fact I would feel comfortable giving up a bit more than the 7 points.
Visit Bet Online to place your bets on this game and others.
UK Punters might want to visit William Hill.
Will Baltimore Ravens make point spread against the Pittsburgh Steelers in week 13?
Published December 1, 2012 | Are the Baltimore Ravens a sure bet to win the game with the Pittsburgh Steelers in week 13?
I think if you look at the numbers the answer to that question is fairly simple, but this is football and the Steelers are planning to do what they can to win the game no matter how many fans or critics state otherwise. These two teams met in Pittsburgh just two weeks ago and the Ravens won that game 13 to 10.
This is a big rivalry and a big game. They are both in the AFC North division and the Steelers would like nothing more than to take home a division win against their biggest rival and competition in the division.
With quarterback Ben Roethlisberger still out for injury to his right shoulder, they will have to look at Charlie Batch to take his place as the starting quarterback. It’s no secret that the Steelers do not have a top ranked offense, but if you look at Batch’s numbers from last week he threw 20 for 34 for 58%.
His biggest problem last week was he lacked a bit of consistency and was unable to complete any touchdown passes. If he can improve that slightly they could do better on the offense.
Where Pittsburgh really shines is their defense. They are ranked number one in defense and in their game two weeks ago they did a fair job of getting the ball back in to then quarterback Byron Leftwich, but Leftwich was sacked 3 times and did not do well converting on 3rd downs. With Batch as quarterback it may have different results.
I look for the Ravens to get a few surprises coming from the Steelers defense. I like a lot of the Steelers players on the defense but if I had to pick a few players the most likely to have a big game and make some big plays would be Larry Foote and Keenan Lewis. Clark has 19 assists this year and has forced two fumbles, one of them in the game two weeks against the Ravens.
Are you saying you think the Steelers will beat the Ravens?
No, I wish i could pick the Steelers since they are the underdog, but I just can’t. Unless Batch can be consistent from the very beginning of the game and get that first drive or two down the field well to gain some momentum then they will face quite a battle.
If you look at their game 2 weeks ago it was a hard fought game and was decided by a field goal at the end of the game. The kind of rivalry this game is I am sure that the Steelers will make the Ravens fight for every yard on Sunday.
But I honestly think that Baltimore will gain more yards then they did in their previous meeting. If their line can protect him a littler better and give him more time I think Flacco will do a better job of finding the right receivers and making the completions.
And even though the Ravens do not have the #1 offense, in fact their offense is ranked at 16 and their passing is ranked 11 they are still have one of the best records this year. They make the plays when they need to and they make the big plays at times throughout the game that can turn things around for them and they are winning games.
Yes I do think the Ravens will win on Sunday and although the line is at 9.5 I think that they have the juice and momentum to make that spread. I know to some that 9 and a half points seems kind of pushing it and you could take the points if you have the faith in Batch and the Steelers defense, I just think the way the Ravens are rolling they are ready to beat the Steelers for the second time in two weeks.
Visit Bet Online to place your bets on this game and others.
UK Punters might want to visit William Hill.
Kansas City Chiefs player kills girlfriend then commits suicide
Published December 1, 2012 | Tragic news from Kansas City Chiefs, player kills girlfriend then self
This morning while I was catching up on reading emails and doing a little general web browsing, I stumbled on this shocking story with some tragic news coming from the Kansas City Chiefs.
Earlier today Chief’s defensive line backer Jovan Belcher had allegedly shot and killed his girlfriend, before driving to the Kansas City Arrowhead Stadium and then turning the gun on himself and committing suicide.
At this time it is not known how many were present to witness the event, but the reports I have read so far state that one of the coaches and general manager of the team may have been witness to the tragic end of his life.
Currently there is a football game scheduled between the Chiefs and the Carolina Panthers for Sunday afternoon December 2, 2012 at 1:00 PM in Kansas City. The game will go on as scheduled.
The Chief’s record this year, currently at 1 win and 10 losses places them in last place in the AFC West. They meet the Panthers, currently at 3 and 8 and in last place in the NFC South division.
With their current records, neither team has any chance of post-season play. The sportsbooks have picked the Panthers as 3 point favorites and this news will make the game on Sunday that much more difficult for the team.
I don’t recall what the line was on this game yesterday at Bet Online, but I read one report that William Hill adjusted their line from 3 to 3.5. A few of the books in Vegas had taken the game off the board but it was reported that they would likely put it back up once news that the game would go on as scheduled was received.
Our thoughts and prayers go out to both the Belcher family and the family of his late girlfriend.
There are a large number of places where you can read more about this story so we do not feel it is necessary to provide a lot of links to them, but here is one from Kansas City Star.
Will New England Patriots make point spread against Miami Dolphins in week 13?
Published December 1, 2012 | A brief look at why the New England Patriots will cover the spread against the Miami Dolphins in week 13
In one of the early games on Sunday afternoon this week is the game between the Miami Dolphins and the New England Patriots. It is actually an important game for both teams, but it is make or brake time for the Dolphins.
They are in the hunt for a spot in the wild card, but they can not make any mistakes. The Dolphins are at 5 wins and 6 losses which puts them one behind the Bengals going in to this week. Looking at the schedule of the games left we see that Miami plays the Patriots Sunday, they play San Francisco next week, than back home for Jacksonville, on to Buffalo the following week, then New England again in the last week of regular season.
They have a much better chance of picking up the wins from the Jaguars and the Bills than they will with NE and SF. Let’s take a brief look at why the point spread is at 9 points in favor of New England to win.
Miami’s only saving grace in this game I think could possibly come from their running game. Miam has a pair of nice running backs with Reggie Bush and Daniel Thomas. We all know that stranger things have happened in games and a team will upset a game because of a player or two will have really big games.
I am not predicting that will happen, but if it were to occur, these two would likely have the biggest hand in that happening. Do I think that is much of a possibility? No.
What is the likelihood of the Patriots making the points?
That is very high and here is why. Just look at their offense. They are ranked #1 in the league right now. Their passing game is ranked 4th and they are ranked 6th in their running game.
Quarterback Tom Brady is having an exceptional year. He has thrown for over 3000 yards and is hitting his receivers over 65% of the time.
Any conversation about the best quarterbacks in the league would have Tom Brady’s name broght up within the conversation. And when you speak about the talent that he has, you can not forget to mention the talent of his receivers.
He has so many weapons to get the receptions at his disposal. Just to name a few he has wide receivers Wes Walker and Brandon Lloyd. Welker has 961 yards and Lloyd has 561 and each one of them have 3 touchdowns. And if your wonder who else is among his favorite men in the secondary, you must mention tight end Rob Gronkowski. He has 748 yards this year and 10 touchdowns and a likely candidate in Sunday’s game to add to that total.
And these 3 are only scratching the surface of receivers that he can drop the ball off to. And don’t forget their running game. They have so many different packages that they can put together using guys like Stevan Ridley, Danny Woodhead, Brandon Bolden, Shane Vereen and others. Ridley himself has over 900 yards and is averaging about 4.6 yards per carry.
Like I said earlier, the odds on this game have the Patriots winning by 9 points. I think you must take New England and give up the points and I would not take Miami even if the points would be a bit higher. I honestly think the Patriots could conceivably win this game by two touchdowns so I don’t think that making 9 will be much of a problem.
I have a few different books I recommend you set up an account for betting on football or any other betting needs. For US Players check out the odds at Bet Online or Sportsbetting and for the non US residents or the UK players check out William Hill.
