NFL Picks

Advance game picks and predictions for NFL Football Games. Read our predictions before placing your bets.

Will Seattle Seahawks make the spread against Buffalo Bills in week 15?

Can the Seattle Seahawks cover the point spread against the Buffalo Bills in week 15?

Picked by the sportsbooks as favorites to win over the Buffalo Bills, the Seattle Seahawks with 8 wins and 5 losses are currently seated at the 5th seed spot for the NFC in the playoff picture.

With 2 other teams in the NFC at 8 and 5, and 3 teams only one game out the Seattle need to win this week to hold on to their wild card spot.

The Bills have had their share of mishaps and mistakes throughout the season. I think the bulk of their problems have stemmed from inconsistencies. Neither their offense nor their defense has received a top overall ranking, but they are ranked 6th for their ground game.

But throughout many of the games this year they were just not able to convert their rushing numbers into more scoring drives then their opponents. That, or when they would make a decent play on defense and cause a fumble or other turnover, their would have difficulty turning it into a score, or they would get into the red zone and end up having to take a field goal instead of a touchdown due to a failed scoring drive.

If the Seahawks are picked to win, can they cover the points over the Bills?

Friday night when I last checked the odds; Bet Online, Bet Fred as well as William Hill each had Seattle picked to win by 5.5 points. I think they should be able to make this spread.

Seattle has a good bit riding on this game and how well they do will be directly reflected in whether they will be considered a real threat to San Francisco next week and whether they have what it takes to compete in the post season if they do in fact make it to the playoffs.

Any single loss by Seattle could drop them out of the playoff hopes depending on the outcome of this week’s games. The football games the NFC conference teams are involved in this week and next will have a lot to do with how the playoff picture looks when the regular season winds down, and as close as the standings are for those battling it out for a wild card spot, the fate of a few will likely not be determined until the final games are played.

Although I would honestly not be too surprised for the Bills to put on a good show and play a good game on Sunday, to place a bet on this game I would be quite comfortable in picking the Seahawks to win and for them to cover the 5.5 point spread.

I am not nearly as comfortable in picking them to make it into the post season and in fact, I think that the Washington Redskins will make it to the playoffs, and for them to do so, either the Bears or the Seahawks will have to vacate a spot and I think the Seahawks are the most likely candidate, but that may not be determined this week.

 

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Will Houston Texans make the spread against Indianapolis Colts in week 15?

Can the Houston Texans cover the point spread against the Indianapolis Colts in week 15?

Leading the AFC South the Houston Texans take on their 2nd place division rivals Indianapolis Colts in what is one of the most important games the Colts have had all year. The books have picked the Texans to win the game by 9.5 points.

At first glance I thought, yea no problem. But let’s look at this game a little closer since that might not be a smart bet. Sure the Texans are leading the division and currently hold the best record in the AFC, but that doesn’t give them an automatic pass.

The Colts have won 7 of their last 8 games so they have certainly made a number of corrections on both sides of the ball compared to the first few weeks in the regular season. Indianapolis is ranked 7th in offense overall and 8th in passing.

This will keep the Texans defense busy and certainly will not provide them with an easy win like some may think if they are simply looking at the win loss record alone. Quarterback Andrew Luck has had a number of very good games the last few weeks and he could possibly have a 300 yard game on Sunday.

The Texans have suffered a handful of injuries on their defensive line and this week line backer Brooks Reed as well as corner Alan Ball are out. Tackle Derek Newton and linebacker Darryl Sharpton are questionable but with adjustments to their line they are still a threat.

Can the Indianapolis Colts upset the Houston Texans and win?

I don’t really think so. On the defense they have JJ Watt a defensive end that is just having a phenomenal year. He currently has 16.5 sacks which is second in the league this year. That makes him a huge threat to any quarterback, and Andrew Luck will likely find himself on the ground at least a few times because of this man.

Texan quarterback Matt Schaub is completing just over 64% of his passing attempts and is averaging a little over 7 yards per reception with Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels his most common go to guys, but they aren’t the only ones. He has a few other receivers, ends and backs he can choose from as well.

The Texans also have a bit of a run game too. In fact Adrian Foster has 1148 yards and 14 touchdowns. Whether it’s the game on the ground or what they are able to do in the air that does the trick, it will likely be the fact that the Texans have a much more well rounded game offense that wins the football game for them.

The most difficult choice I must make is whether the Texans can cover the spread. If the Colts can come out and get the edge early in the game, or at least match scoring drives in the first half then the ability for Houston to cover will be cut by a large amount.

Yes I am picking the Texans to win this game. But I think they will have enough difficulty making the spread that as long as the line stays at 9.5 then I would end up taking the Colts. I look for the Texans to win by 6.

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Will New England Patriots win against San Francisco 49ers in week 15?

Will the New England Patriots beat the San Francisco 49ers in week 15?

Looking at the schedule of this week’s games I gotta say a few of the matchups this week are going to be listed among some of the most exciting and most important games of the season so far. The football game between the San Francisco 49ers and the New England Patriots is one of those games.

The New England Patriots, Leading the AFC East and division champs, meet the NFC West leaders San Francisco 49ers at Gillette Stadium in New England on Sunday night. Each team currently holds the 2nd seed spot in their conference and each one of them needs the win to hold on to their spot in the playoff round and the bye week.

Looking at what the sports books have the odds at on this game I have question this slightly and take a much closer look before making my betting choice. The bookies have the point spread on this game at 5 points with the Patriots winning.

I admit I am a fan of Tom Brady and New England, but being a fan alone does not win the football game. Both the Patriots and the 49ers are each having a very good year that is why they are each leading their divisions.

New England is currently ranked number 1 in offense, 5th in passing and 7th on the ground. But before you get too excited, San Francisco is ranked number 2 in defense. They are 5th in sacks and have 38 for the season. This will keep the offensive line of New England busy trying to stop the penetration of the 49er defense.

Are you saying the San Francisco 49ers will beat the New England Patriots?

No I’m not. San Francisco has a great defense and their offense is ranked 2nd on the ground but I think that the Patriots have been making a lot of improvements on both sides of the ball. Tom Brady has been hitting a little over 64% and although they do not have a top ranked ground game, Stevan Ridley is over 1000 yards and is averaging 4.6 yards per carry.

I think the Patriots are more versatile on their offense. Brady has many receivers to pick from and he has shown that no matter what coverage his opponents throw at him he can always seem to find someone to get the ball to and make the yards.

Would I bet on the Patriots with a 5 point spread? Yes I would, but if the line moves at all I would probably change my mind. In reality I think New England has it in them to win this game by a touchdown, but when it comes to placing a bet you have to look at the odds and bet safe.

In the end I do think that the Patriots are a safe bet. If they can win this game they have a softer schedule for their last two games so they could end up winning the divisional round bye week.

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Will New York Giants win against Atlanta Falcons in week 15?

Will the New York Giants beat the Atlanta Falcons in week 15?

If you want to talk about an NFC matchup for this week, you have to mention the Giants and Falcons game. New York meets Atlanta at the Georgia Dome on Sunday afternoon.

Even though the Falcons have clinched the division title they are looking to win in order to hold on to the first place seed in the playoffs and get the first round bye week. With 11 wins and only 2 losses this year they certainly will be involved in the play offs, but with a number of division and conference matchups scheduled in the final weeks of the season, it just hasn’t been determined at what capacity and what seed spot they will hold on to.

The Giants, with an 8 and 5 record are in a must win situation for the balance of the regular season. They lead the NFC East, but the Redskins and Cowboys are only 1 game behind in the division. They must win this game since a loss by them, with a win by either of their division rivals, could unseat them from their 4th seed position.

Time and time again over the years, many analysts, football fans and sometimes even the bookies do not always remember that the Giants have often played their best football games under pressure. With their backs up against the wall they have proven numerous times they can come back and win games when it appeared they would not, and with a win this week against the Falcons, they would show why they are the champions.

Who do the sportsbooks pick to win the game between the Atlanta Falcons and the New York Giants, and what are the odds?

As of Friday afternoon checking the line on this game at a number of books, I was surprised to see the line at even. The odds makers do not seem to have enough faith in either team to pick a clear winner in this game.

Looking at their offense rankings; Falcons 8th and Giants 9th, passing Atlanta 4th and NY 9th, they are pretty closely matched. On the ground the Falcons have a rank of 28th to the Giants 15th. That doesn’t necessarily mean that the entire game will be won or lost with the defense, but each defense will have a lot of responsibility to get their jobs done.

Even though the Giants are ranked 24th in defense, they have a ranking of 6th against the pass and this means that they will be ready and aware of how important it will be to keep heavy pressure on Falcon quarterback Matt Ryan and his key receivers Tony Gonzalez and Julio Jones. Normally Roddy White would make that list also but it has not been determined if he will play Sunday due to a knee injury.

The football game between these two top rated NFC teams will certainly be a good one. They each have great ranked quarterbacks and both have proven they can make the plays needed to win games. I honestly think that when the smoke clears that the Giants will be the ones to conquer this week.

I think that as long as New York can keep from making a lot of mistakes, especially during the early parts of the game and get some momentum during the first half, they will be able to shut down Ryan and keep the Falcons from gaining the edge.

Even though the books did not give any points in the spread I will. I think that the Giants can win this game by 2 points.

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Will Washington Redskins win against Cleveland Browns in week 15?

Will the Washington Redskins beat the Cleveland Browns in week 15?

Tied for second place in the NFC East the Washington Redskins play the Cleveland Browns this week at Cleveland Brown Stadium.

After winning their last 3 games the Browns are looking for a win this week and although they are in the hunt for a wild card spot, their hopes of actually landing that spot are shrinking with each win by the Jets, Bengals or any of the other AFC leaders.

Even though the Browns are at 5 wins and eight losses, they have won their last 3 games. They won against Kansas City, Oakland and 3 weeks ago the Steelers. They certainly should be congratulated for those wins.

The Washington Redskins are hot right now and playing very well. A lot of that success is directly related to the success of Robert Griffin III. RG3 suffered a knee injury this past week against the Ravens. He has only limited participation in practice so he may not play Sunday.

It appears that rookie Kirk Cousins will start at the quarterback position. In last weeks game against Baltimore, he stepped in when Griffin was hurt, down by 8 points, and threw a touchdown pass bringing them within 2 points. Then he ran it in for the two point conversion and tied the game. They won in overtime by a field goal.

The Washington offense is rated number one in rushing, and the number one rusher is a rookie by the name of Alfred Morris. He has run for 1232 yards this year, and he is a great asset to the Redskins and I see him having a big game this week.

What are the odds on the Washington Redskins to win the game against the Cleveland Browns?

When I checked the online sports book Bet Online I see they have picked the Washington Redskins to win by 1 point over the Cleveland Browns.

The Redskins have developed a nice running game this year and although not having Griffin in watching the few plays that Cousins ran and his subsequent run in for the 2 points to tie the game last week, was impressive. If he can have a decent game and Morris has a good game I think they will do very well against the Browns.

The Browns defense is 15th against the run and I think they will have trouble stopping Morris from gaining ground and getting first downs. The books have this at 1 point. I do think the Redskins can beat the Browns and even with Griffin out I think they can win by 3 points.

 

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Will Denver Broncos win against Baltimore Ravens in week 15?

Will the Denver Broncos beat the Baltimore Ravens in week 15?

Leading the AFC North the Baltimore Ravens meet the leaders of the AFC West Denver Broncos in one of the most important AFC matchup’s this week.

At 10 wins and 3 losses the Broncos sit in the 3rd seed playoff spot. With a win this week and a loss by the Patriots they would move in to the 2nd seed spot which could earn them a first round bye week. The game is very important to the Ravens since a win would clinch the division title for them and move them into the 3rd seed spot putting them at a possible only one game out from the bye week.

Plenty of incentive for both teams, so let’s look a little closer at who will win and how they will play the game. Obviously they will both play a good game but only one of them will come out on top.

Baltimore has had a great season in the win loss category. In fact at 9 and 4, they have actually won more games than their offense or defense ranks in the league would lead you to believe. They are ranked 18th in offense and 24th in defense overall. Look at that again.

More than 50% of the league has better ranked offenses and defenses. Even though they have not been racking up huge numbers in stats, their win ratio speaks for itself. What the Ravens have been doing well with is winning games.

They will force an opponent to turn the ball over during a crucial time in the game, or a very critical drive, or they will drive down the field and get a touchdown or field goal at just the right time to take away their opponents momentum. They have just been doing what it takes to get the job done.

They have lost their last two games with Washington and Pittsburgh so they will be looking to break that streak but I do not think they will be able to do so. The Broncos have been very effective during the second half of many of their games this year and they are also playing very well during the second half of the regular season.

What is the spread and will the Denver Broncos make the points against the Baltimore Ravens?

As of late Wednesday evening the line on this game has the bookies picking the Denver Broncos to win over the Baltimore Ravens by 2 and a half points. For my own personal picks, I would extend that to 4 points, but I am a big fan of Manning and the Broncos, so I will stay on track and discuss why I think the extra points are valid.

The Ravens will try and take an early lead since they know how explosive the the Broncos and their quarterback Peyton Manning has been in the second half of games this season. The Denver defense is ranked 4th in the league overall and I think they will put enough pressure on Joe Flacco to cut their scoring capabilities.

On the offensive side of the football is where the Broncos really do their best work. Quarterback Peyton Manning is one of the best in the league. His completion percentages have climbed to 68% and he is over 3800 yards for the year.

The Ravens will be looking to try and cut that percentage, but Manning’s offensive line has been providing great pass protection and providing they can keep that up against the Baltimore defense, they will be able to move the ball and keep the drives alive and score on a high percentage of their possessions.

Another thing that Denver has done well the past few weeks is run the ball. I look for them to do that well again this week and the biggest weapon they go to on the ground will be Willis McGahee.

The importance of this game can’t be stressed enough and I think the Broncos will go into this game knowing this and will play it like it is a post season game and will come out on top. Yes, I think they will make the point spread and like I said above, I think they can win by 4 points.

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Will Green Bay Packers win against Chicago Bears in week 15?

Will the Green Bay Packers beat the Chicago Bears in week 15?

Asking who will win the Packers and Bears game would be answered differently by fans of either team since hardcore fans would always choose their favorite. I am actually a fan of both teams and over the years each one has had different strong points.

This week on Sunday afternoon we get to see the number one and number two spot in the NFC North battle it out. These two football teams also happen to be the 3rd seed (Packers) and 6th seed (Bears) in the wild card round.

With 3 other teams only one game out from the Bears, Chicago has found themselves in another must win situation in many ways. Depending on the outcome of some of the other NFC matchups this week we may see a slight jockeying around of the wild card spots.

Besides the game with the NY Giants against the Atlanta Falcons, the Bears – Packers game is the most important head-to-head NFC Matchup this week. Can the Giants upset the favorite Atlanta Falcons?

But let’s get back to the Packers versus Bears. I really like the way that the Chicago Bears play defense. They play a lot of in-your-face or hands on football. The linebackers and tackles like to get up close and friendly.

They are ranked #6 in sacks and surprisingly the Packers are ranked #2 with 42 team sacks. Injured linebacker Clay Matthews has 9 of those and he is confirmed out for this game and although they really miss him on the line they have been compensating well.

What is the point spread between the Chicago Bears and the Green Bay Packers?

At the time I wrote this article late Tuesday night the line on the game had Green Bay favored by the sports books to win over Chicago by 3 points. I think the Packers can do that and would even go to 5 points.

I think the Packer offensive line will do a fair job of protecting quarterback Aaron Rodgers in the pocket long enough for him to get the job done efficiently. As we are winding down the season, similar to the way Rodgers has come from behind and made successful drives down field to win games, I think he will also do a good job of pulling his team into a more solid wild card seed spot.

The major problem is that Chicago stands in their way this week and they want that win and that wild card spot also, and they have all intention of fighting for it so I think this will be a good game. Just as the Chicago defense will make it hard on Rodgers and his offensive line, the Packer defense will be applying the pressure to Jay Cutler, quarterback for the Bears. Being #2 in sacks you they are going to be penetrating his line and forcing him to hurry his throws often.

This game is looking like not only will it end up being very important to the standings in the NFC, but also a game that will be a lot of fun to watch. Yes, bet the Packers to make the points against the Bears.

 

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Will Dallas Cowboys win against Pittsburgh Steelers in week 15?

Will the Dallas Cowboys beat the Pittsburgh Steelers in week 15?

The game we chose for this week’s OffSides article with opposing points of view is the Dallas Cowboys versus the Pittsburgh Steelers.

We chose this game for a number of reasons. At 7 and 6 both teams are fairly evenly matched as far as their win loss record. Both football teams are tied for second place within their divisions also. Dallas is tied with the Cincinnati Bengals and Pittsburgh is tied with the Minnesota Vikings.

Both teams are still in the hunt for a wild card playoff spot. Both teams are in must win situations for the balance of the season in order to hold on to, or secure any wild card possibilities.

The Steelers currently hold the 6th seed spot for the wild card in the AFC so if they win their last 3 games they stand to hold that spot. A loss of any of one of the last 3 games by Pittsburgh and 3 wins by Cincinnati would advance the Bengals into their spot. The Steelers really need this win.

The competition in the NFC is more interesting and the battle for a wild card berth is hot. With 3 teams at 7 and 6 still in the hunt; Washington Redskins, Dallas Cowboys and the Minnesota Vikings, they are only 1 game out for the 4th, 5th and 6th seed spots. Those 3 spots are currently occupied by 3 teams at 8 and 5; NY Giants, Seattle Seahawks and the Chicago Bears.

This pretty much puts all of them in must win scenarios, and since a few of them are in matchups this week and next, their fate rests upon the outcome of the last few regular season games. It is very clear that these slots will not be decided without a fight.

As of Tuesday afternoon the odds on this game are at even and some of the sports books have not given up any point spread for this game at all. As I write this article at Noon on Tuesday the line of this game at Bet Online is at even, and Bet Fred had the Steelers favored to win by 1.5 points.

Who will win this closely matched game between the Steelers and the Cowboys?

I had actually picked the Bengals to beat the Cowboys last week and was surprised to see Dallas win that game with a 4th quarter drive by quarterback Tony Romo that ended with a touchdown and then another drive a few minutes later that gave them their game winning field goal.

Romo showed poise and determination in those drives and ended the day with 268 yards and one touchdown pass. He was sacked 3 times in that game and threw one interception and I think the most important thing that will have to happen in the Steelers game is for Romo to have a game without throwing any picks, similar to their game with Philadelphia where he threw 81% for over 300 yards and 3 touchdowns.

This will be a very difficult thing to do. Pittsburgh is the number 1 ranked defense in the league and they are rated number 1 against the pass. Even though they are ranked #1, if you look at their game with the Chargers this past week, you can see their pass rush just couldn’t stop San Diego quarterback Phillip Rivers from making 3 touchdown passes and if the Cowboys offensive line can give Romo the time, he can have the same kind of game this week.

This is an extremely important game to both teams and as we head into the last few weeks of the season, the energy surrounding many of the match ups is growing. This game between these two teams each with their own playoff aspirations couldn’t be more exciting or have higher importance attached to the outcome.

I think the Pittsburgh Steelers will make the Dallas Cowboys work very hard for every yard they get, but I do think they will get those yards. I also think that the 11th ranked defense of Dallas will be effective against the play action of quarterback Ben Roethlisberger an in the end I am picking the Dallas Cowboys to win over the Pittsburgh Steelers by 2 points.

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Be sure to take a few minutes and visit my buddy Frank Benjamin’s website OddsOnBetting and read his side of the story. Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will Cover the Spread against the Dallas Cowboys.

Will Cincinnati Bengals make point spread against Philadelphia Eagles in week 15?

Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the point spread against the Philadelphia Eagles in week 15?

Looking ahead to week 15 of the regular season I see that the Thirsday night game is between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Philadephia Eagles. The Bengals, at 7-6 are tied for second place in the AFC North and the Eagles, at 4-9 have had a very rocky year and are in last place in the NFC East.

Philadelphia surprised many people this past week, including the sportsbooks by beating the favorites Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23 to 21. Even though they were down in the 4th quarter, rookie Nick Foles turned in an impressive drive earning a touchdown and the win.

Although I did not see the entire game and only caught parts of it, I had not expected the Eagles to win and really was confident the Bucs would. Foles threw for 381 yards in that game and he might be able to do that against the Buccaneers, last ranked team against the pass, but do not think we will see that in Thursday night’s game.

The Bengals are a much different football team. They currently have the 7th ranked defense and this will prove much more difficult for Foles then what he faced in Tampa. They are 10th against the pass and are number one in sacks, which means Foles will likely face a lot more hurries and have to make quicker decisions. He will also probably have to throw on the run more and may lead to more mistakes.

Obviously there are no guarantees and one must always use a bit of caution when placing a bet on a football game. Looking at the line on this game, as of Monday evening the books and betting shops have favored the Bengals to win by 3 points. That line could move a little between now and game time but I doubt it will be necessary.

Should I bet the Cincinnati Bengals and give up the points against the Philadelphia Eagles?

There are a number of reasons behind this, but I do think the smart money will go there. Now we might see some surprises and Foles might make a few big plays but the Bengals defense will be all over his offensive from the beginning of the game letting him know they are there to make his night difficult.

In fact I would not be surprised if Geno Atkins and Michael Johnson each ended up with a sack or at least an assist in this game. I often bring up incentive and looking at the standings and playoff picture, the Bengals have the drive to win since they are still in the hunt and could conceivable end up in a wild card spot depending on how Pittsburgh does next week.

Cincinnati leads in the tie breaker between them so if the Steelers lose to the Cowboys this week, then the game next week between the Steelers and the Bengals will be the one to decide that spot. Last week I think I might have said that Cincinnati couldn’t do it, but the unexpected Steelers loss to San Diego in week 14 is proof that the season isn’t over until the last game in week 17.

Cincinnati Bengals are hungry to win and I do think they will take this game if they can control the passing of Nick Foles. I do think they will make the point spread but I would be less confident if the line would move much, but at three points they should be fine with a 3 point spread over the Philadelphia Eagles.

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Will Green Bay Packers make point spread against Detroit Lions in week 14?

Will the Green Bay Packers cover the point spread against the Detroit Lions in week 14?

Locked in a batttle for their a wild card spot in the NFC North with the Chicago Bears, the Green Bay Packers meet the Detroit Lions in week 14.

It is obvious that the Packers should end up in the post season, it just hasn’t been determined just where yet. With 4 regular season football games left, both Green Bay and Chicago are at 8 wins and 4 losses and only a half game behind the 49ers in a fight for the first round week off. If the Packers sweep the last four games and San Francisco loses one game, the Packers move ahead and get the bye. They have the edge over the Bears in a tie breaker.

But before we get to the playoffs, the Packers have to get past the Lions, and the following 3 games with Chicago, Tennessee and Minnesota. Ironically, the Bears play the Vikings this week and if they win that game, the NFC battle for the bye week could be decided next week when the Packers play the Bears.

The Sunday night game with the Lions and Packers looks like it will be a good game for a number of reasons. If you look at their league rank in offense and then look at their win loss record the numbers look askew. Green Bay is ranked 16th with an 8-4 record and the Lions are ranked 2nd with a 4-8 record.

The key to the Lions offense is quarterback Matthew Stafford and his number one receiver Calvin Johnson. Johnson has caught 86 passes for over 1400 yards, and Stafford also has 4 other receivers over 300 yards with one of them over 500.

The Detroit Lions just have had trouble winning games. In most of their losses it was just a case of a mistake here or there with a penalty or a fumble and other miscellaneous blown plays. With a 19th ranked defense there were times when an opponents offense would gain an edge that they just couldn’t get back.

What is the spread for the Packers against the Lions?

As of Friday night a number of the sports books have the Packers winning this game by 6.5 points. I personally think they can cover that.

Green Bay won when these two teams met two weeks ago and in that game Aaron Rodgers, quarterback for Green Bay completed 70% for 236 yards. The score in that game was Green Bay 24 to Detroit 20.

Keep in mind that the Packers have only lost 1 of their last 7 football games, to the Giants two weeks ago in week 12. Rodgers is completing 67% of his passes, and although he will miss having wide receiver Jordy Nelson, out with a hamstring injury; Randall Cobb, James Jones and Jermichael Finley as well as others provide Rodgers a lot of choices to throw to.

With the line at 6.5, it a bit more conservative then 2 weeks ago, the books had the line at 9.5 for that game and they won by 4. Overall I see taking the Green Bay Packers winning and covering the spread as a safe bet.

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