A brief look at why the New England Patriots will cover the spread against the Miami Dolphins in week 13

In one of the early games on Sunday afternoon this week is the game between the Miami Dolphins and the New England Patriots. It is actually an important game for both teams, but it is make or brake time for the Dolphins.

They are in the hunt for a spot in the wild card, but they can not make any mistakes. The Dolphins are at 5 wins and 6 losses which puts them one behind the Bengals going in to this week. Looking at the schedule of the games left we see that Miami plays the Patriots Sunday, they play San Francisco next week, than back home for Jacksonville, on to Buffalo the following week, then New England again in the last week of regular season.

They have a much better chance of picking up the wins from the Jaguars and the Bills than they will with NE and SF. Let’s take a brief look at why the point spread is at 9 points in favor of New England to win.

Miami’s only saving grace in this game I think could possibly come from their running game. Miam has a pair of nice running backs with Reggie Bush and Daniel Thomas. We all know that stranger things have happened in games and a team will upset a game because of a player or two will have really big games.

I am not predicting that will happen, but if it were to occur, these two would likely have the biggest hand in that happening. Do I think that is much of a possibility? No.

What is the likelihood of the Patriots making the points?

That is very high and here is why. Just look at their offense. They are ranked #1 in the league right now. Their passing game is ranked 4th and they are ranked 6th in their running game.

Quarterback Tom Brady is having an exceptional year. He has thrown for over 3000 yards and is hitting his receivers over 65% of the time.

Any conversation about the best quarterbacks in the league would have Tom Brady’s name broght up within the conversation. And when you speak about the talent that he has, you can not forget to mention the talent of his receivers.

He has so many weapons to get the receptions at his disposal. Just to name a few he has wide receivers Wes Walker and Brandon Lloyd. Welker has 961 yards and Lloyd has 561 and each one of them have 3 touchdowns. And if your wonder who else is among his favorite men in the secondary, you must mention tight end Rob Gronkowski. He has 748 yards this year and 10 touchdowns and a likely candidate in Sunday’s game to add to that total.

And these 3 are only scratching the surface of receivers that he can drop the ball off to. And don’t forget their running game. They have so many different packages that they can put together using guys like Stevan Ridley, Danny Woodhead, Brandon Bolden, Shane Vereen and others. Ridley himself has over 900 yards and is averaging about 4.6 yards per carry.

Like I said earlier, the odds on this game have the Patriots winning by 9 points. I think you must take New England and give up the points and I would not take Miami even if the points would be a bit higher. I honestly think the Patriots could conceivably win this game by two touchdowns so I don’t think that making 9 will be much of a problem.

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Will the Denver Broncos cover the spread against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers week 13?

On Sunday afternoon the AFC West Division leader Denver Broncos, with 8 wins and 3 losses meet the NFC South second place Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Tampa is currently at 6 and 5, and need a win Sunday in their race to try and qualify for a wild card spot in the playoffs.

Based upon a number of factors including the remaining schedule that Tampa has the rest of the season, they are thought to be one of the favorites vying for the spot. Even with a loss on Sunday Tampa actually has a really good shot at making the playoffs since time and circumstance, as well as their schedules, may work against such teams as Dallas, Washington and a few others. A lot is at stake in a number of divisions this week.

However, let’s concentrate on Sunday’s game since they must first face a formidable opponent in the Denver Broncos. If you look at the line, the odds makers have the Broncos as 8 point favorites to win over the Buccaneers. With an 8 point spread you can be sure the sports bookies are confident which team they think will come out on top.

When I am looking at which football teams I want to bet on, I try and look deeper than just the numbers. I look at it logically and try not to let my emotions sway my judgment too much, although being human, sometimes you just can’t help it and emotions will sometimes affect your wagering decisions.

Do I honestly think the Broncos will win on Sunday? Yes I do, and short of Denver making huge mistakes in the first half or Tampa pulling out a few really big plays that give them points early in the game, I think we will see Denver in the lead by the end of the first half.

And even if they do not have a comfortable first half lead, the Broncos have had many games this year when they were down by considerable points at half time and they turned the game around in their favor in the second half, but I feel that may not be necessary in this game.

But will the Broncos be able to cover the point spread against the Buccaneers?

Let’s look a little closer to see what may happen and how it could affect scoring in this game. On Tampa’s offense you have a great young quarterback in Josh Freeman in his fourth year.

Throwing at 57% this year, his numbers have been presentable as far as receptions, but when he does throw an interception, it seems like it couldn’t be at a worse possible time. But then any quarterback will tell you it’s never a good time when they throw an interception.

And going up against the Broncos, Freeman will be facing a defense ranked 4th in the league. He can be sure that they will be applying a lot of pressure and try to get him on the move early in the game. They will keep heavy coverage on his receivers Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams as well as tight end Dallas Clark as well.

The Denver defense will likely make their offensive line wake up and pay attention early in the game and I wouldn’t be surprised if they even manage to get a sack on Freeman even on their first possession. With line backers like Von Miller with 14 sacks for the year or defensive ends like Elvis Dumervil with 8 and 18 assists they will be doing everything they can to force Freeman into making mistakes and hurrying up his throws.

Tampa does have a bit of a running game, but I think that the defensive line is ready to shut down their running game. Don’t forget that we could easily see a big play or two by Kevin Vickerson, Derek Wolfe, Rahim Moore or so many others.

You can not even mention a game with the Denver Broncos without talking about their offense. At he forefront of that offense is one of the best quarterbacks in the league, Peyton Manning. Watching this man play football, especially when he is having a good day is a lot of fun.

It would not surprise one bit to see him throw for 300 yards or more on Sunday. In addition to his talent as a passer, he is extremely intelligent and reads a defense better than just about any quarterback in the game. He can run a great no huddle or hurry up offense and has shown he can take advantage of that ability and keep defenses guessing or calling an audible at the line of scrimmage.

Even though most of the sports betting shops we checked with, both on line as well as the brick and mortar sportsbooks, have the spread on this football game at 8 points; I think the Denver Broncos should have no trouble covering the spread against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

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Will the Green Bay Packers make the 9.5 point spread against Minnesota Vikings in week 13 football game?

I am a fan of the Packers and enjoy watching quarterback Aaron Rodgers do his job, and even more so when he is having a good game. But a spread of 9.5 points might be just a little over confident so let’s look closer at the football game matchup.

The Vikings meet the Packers at Lambeau Field in Green Bay. Both teams are in the NFC North. Green Bay has a record of 7 wins and 4 losses and Minnesota is at 6 and 5 and they are in 2nd and 3rd place respectively in the division.

If Green bay wins, and the Bears, which lead the division lose; Green Bay would be tied with Chicago for first place in the NFC North. If the Vikings win, they would tie the Packers for second place. So you can see there is a good bit riding on this game for both of them.

Green bay has a record at home this year of 4 wins and 1 loss and that was the season opener with San Francisco. Rodgers threw for over 300 yards in the game and there is no reason why he won’t rack up that many or more in Sunday’s game.

Like last week, the Packers star line backer Clay Matthews is not expected to play this week. He is out due to a hamstring injury. I think he was missed last week in the game against the Giants and he will be missed again on Sunday.

Can the Packers win without Matthews? Yes, of course they can. Without his exceptional talent helping make big plays and getting or assisting with sacks, the defense’s job is a little more difficult and he is such a great inspiration to the line, but I do think they are capable without him.

After the loss last week to the Giants I am sure they have taken a closer look at where they could make some improvements on defense this week. A few of the shortcomings they saw last week was the inability of the line to stop the run in a number of plays. And since the Vikings have a very strong running game they hopefully will have made some adjustments and will be effective against the ground game.

But can the Vikings stop the Packers from making the spread?

Maybe. Gee that’s a heck of an answer when you are trying to decide which football team to bet on isn’t it? We have only scratched the surface so let’s take a quick look closer to help decide the answer.

Like I started this article, I am a fan of Green Bay. I have liked watching them play since the Brett Farve. Farve is one of the all time greats and threw for over 10,000 yards in his career, but let’s get back on track.

The Minnesota Vikings are a great football team too. They play a very aggressive, very physical, in your face ground game. There rushing offense is ranked 3rd in the league so they will surely be taking the ball on the ground, to the Giant defense from early on in the game.

Running back Adrian Peterson and the talent he has of finding the opening, or breaking a tackle and exploding a short gain into and explosive run and making big plays is incredible. I think we will see Minnesota give the ball to Peterson a lot as well throw in their normal mixture of some play action passing and screens for short yards, maybe get to receiver Percy Harvin, or dump it off to tight end Kyle Rudolph or others.

They have managed to do that well this year, just not as effectively as they have liked in some of the games that did not go their way this season.

If the Minnesota Vikings brings their A game on Sunday afternoon, then they have a great shot at actually winning this game. But I also think that if Green Bay brings their A game, and the defense can contain Adrian Peterson, then they will win. With the spread at 9.5 I think I would say yes, they can meet that spread, but I am not sure I would give up more points than that.

Sure, Aaron Rodgers could have a Great Game and throw 4, 5 maybe even 6 touchdown passes, but when you are placing a bet on the game you need to look at things closer and decide how confident you feel about putting your money where your mouth is.

Since I am a big fan of Green Bay, I can easily say that I hope Rodgers does just what I said above and throws for over 400 yards. He is a great quarterback and I like watching him work.

And for the money I think the smart bet is on the green Bay Packers they will make the spread.

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Which team will win the football game between Arizona Cardinals and the St. Louis Rams

In another close game that some of the sportsbooks are not giving up any points this week is the matchup between the Arizona Cardinals and the St. Louis Rams. Taking a look at the odds at lunch time, (only a few hours before the game) the spread at Bet Online is zero points but William Hill has the line at the Cardinals as 1.5 point favorites. Let’s take a quick look at this and whether Arizona can make the spread.

These two are in 3rd and 4th places in the NFC West and both have seen their playoff hopes disappear in recent weeks. Nothing either of them do can change that. The record at St. Louis is 3 wins 6 losses and 1 tie with the record at Arizona is 4 and 6.

Just because they have no hope for any game play after the end of regular season doesn’t mean they aren’t ready to play or to win. I actually think it might be somewhat of an interesting game. I don’t think either one of them wants to walk out of the stadium and not say they didn’t give it their best.

Neither team will want to be known as the team that couldn’t win against their worst rivals in the conference this late in the season. But only one of them can come out of this game as the winner and I think it will be the Cardinals.

Yes Arizona will be playing a rookie quarterback in his first NFL start, but with Kevin Kolb injured and John Skelton on the bench Ryan Lindley might just actually surprise a number of people. As a rookie he may be prone to making mistakes that young passers do, but he has to get experience at some point and this is the perfect game for him to do so.

I think the biggest hurdle that the Cardinals face will be protecting Lindley and giving him the time to find his receivers. They have almost no running game so they will have to depend on him making the completions.

Their defenses are actually pretty closely matched and I think this game will depend a lot on how well either defense does. The Rams will be looking to pick off Lindley but they may find that will be more difficult than originally planned.

While the Rams have possession of the football, they will have to contend with Daryl Washington as well as a number of other defenders and I look for Washington to have a big game today.

I think this game will be decided by the defense, and the amount of mistakes made by either quarterback. Who will throw the least amount of interceptions, which will make fewer mistakes, and how well the defenses can read their opponents.

I am actually picking the Cardinals to win this game by 2 points and I admit that it is quite a stretch.

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Will New York Giants make the point spread against the Green Bay Packers in week 12?

I will go on record as stating that no matter the outcome of this football game Sunday night, it will be a good one. It has all the makings of an excitement and thrills of a good game before it even starts.

In fact as of Saturday night the odds on this game at the sports betting shops we watch, such as Bet Online and William Hill have the Giants favored to win by 2 and a half to 3 points. (Bet Online 2.5 and Will Hill 3)

Each of these teams is leading their divisions with the Packers at 7 wins and 3 losses and the Giants at 6 and 4. Each of them has a quarterback that time and again has been able to make the plays and get their teams down the field and make those 1st downs when they really needed it.

I have stated many times in my articles here at Football Betting World how much I really enjoy watching great quarterbacks at work, and I think that both of these guys fit that category really well. Both Eli Manning of the Giants and Aaron Rodgers of the Packers can be very explosive and they both do a decent job of working under pressure and both can run no huddle offenses when the chips are down.

But since we have to decide which football team we want to bet on, we need to take a closer look at what we think will happen to help us determine if we want to take the Giants or if we want to bet on Green Bay and take the points.

Personally I am leaning toward the Packers so let me give a few of the reason why. First I think Green Bay is going to win this game. I will be honest, it is a little bit of an emotional pick, but it is fueled by some logic as well.

Make no mistake though, Eli Manning is a great quarterback with an awful lot of talent and he has some really good receivers to go to. Although they are not the only players Manning can throw to, the two biggest weapons he has with his air attack are wide receiver Victor Cruz and tight end Martellus Bennett. Now he has others also, but Green Bay will certainly have to keep an eye on those two to reduce the threat in the secondary.

I might have also added Domenik Hixon to that list but he is out with an ankle injury and will not be playing this week. Obviously we wish him the best and a speedy recovery, but the fact that he is out this week is one less choice of receivers that Manning can look for down field.

It is true that NY has a good offensive line and they protect Manning pretty well, but do not forget about Green Bay’s outside line backers Erik Walden and Nick Perry. Normally I would add Clay Matthews to that list but he is likely out of this game due to a ham string injury. In fact Matthews has 9 sacks this season and 10 assists making the lack of him being on the field a loss that will be felt.

I haven’t even mentioned the Packers’ defensive ends or tackles such as Ryan Pickett and Mike Neal as well as a number of others. Their line has done a decent job on the inside

Plus, the Giants are coming off their bye week. Now some will say that means they had more time to rest, but the other side of that thinking is that it may take them a little longer to get their momentum going too. This first couple of possessions by New York will certainly be the indicator on that.

On the offensive side of the ball is where the Packers will likely shine on Sunday night though. Aaron Rodgers is a seasoned veteran quarterback that has won a number of football games with his agility and fast thinking on his feet.

He has shown time and again that when he is having a good day, he can drive the team down field and has coordinated a number of successful drives even when fans as well as opposing teams had thought they had the game won. He just needs to have a good game.

He is currently hitting his receivers with the completions at just over 67%. That is pretty darn good. And he has a fair amount of guys he can go to with those throws such as Randall Cobb, Jordy Nelson, James Jones and more.

Like I said above, this is going to be a great game and is likely one of the better games of the weekend. Both teams want the win badly since they want to hold on to their lead in their divisions. I think the point spread is partially affected by the fact that the Giants beat the Packers last year and squashed their superbowl hopes.

Providing the line can protect Rodgers well, and providing that the loss of Matthews is not too great on their defense, I do think that the Green Bay Packers can and will be victorious over the New York Giants in the week 12 game Sunday night.

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Will the Dallas Cowboys make the point spread against the Washington Redskins?

On Thursday afternoon on Thanksgiving day, most likely around the time people all over the country will be sitting back after having their turkey, or possibly even just sitting down to eat their holiday dinner, kickoff will take place at Cowboy stadium in Texas for the football game between the Dallas Cowboys and the Washington Redskins.

Checking the odds at the books that we watch closely, BetOnline for the US bettors and William Hill for the non US market, the line on the Cowboy-Redskins game has Dallas favored to win by 3 points? Many times this season we have seen where simply picking a favorite did not always insure you were backing, or betting on the team that would actually win the game.

This game is very important to them both. Since they are ranked 2nd and 3rd in the NFC East the outcome of this game affects the standings in that division. Both teams are in the hunt for a playoff spot as well. One scenario to consider, say the Redskins currently at 4-6 win, Dallas at 5-5 would move to 5-6 which would make them tied for second place in the division.

Washington then meets the Giants, currently 6-4 leading the NFC East on December 3rd, and since they have lost the last 2 games they will likely not be leading the division by that point in time. So you can see that the division is somewhat of a tight race between these 3 which makes the outcome of Thursday’s game important.

Let’s take a look at the game itself and what I think may happen though. Washington has won the last few games they played but they haven’t exactly been dominating in those games. The only way they can honestly win is by making big plays on the defense and forcing Dallas to turn the ball over and keep them out of the end zone. That might happen some, but I really don’t think they can do it enough to be effective.

And for the offense although rookie quarterback Robert Griffin III is doing ok, their air attack needs a bit of work. They will have to run the ball well to really compete in this game and that is something they have not done a lot of this year. In addition to going to running backs Alfred Morris and Evan Royster a lot, I look for Griffin to do a fair share of running when he gets the opportunity.

But the Cowboys defense will be ready for him. They have been doing a fair job this year on defense and they will certainly have to keep a close eye on Royster and Morris.

I think it is time for Tony Romo, quarterback for Dallas to have a big game. I think this week he will earn his pay and deliver the ball to his receivers, and this is will be a big factor in the game. With the Redskins defense being very effective against play action, he will have to keep his eyes open and may have to throw it away under pressure but he has been improving on getting rid of the ball quicker and avoiding the sack.

As important as this game is to both football teams, they will both take the field ready to play and ready to win. Each of them still has a good chance of making the playoffs, and neither of them will go down without a fight.

Of any of the three games taking place on Thanksgiving Day, this is the one that will probably be the most action packed and the one that is a little more difficult to pick. In my opinion I do think the Dallas Cowboys will make the point spread, and in fact I think they will beat the spread.

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Will the Baltimore Ravens make the point spread against the Pittsburgh Steelers in week 11?

This week the AFC North matchup between the Baltimore Ravens against the Pittsburgh Steelers is shaping up to be a big game for both football teams.

Both teams are wanting this win really bad and fortunately for Pittsburgh, running back Rashard Mendenhall will start the game Sunday night. This may be the boost that the Steelers need, and with Jonathan Dwyer and Isaac Redman both playing well the past few weeks they will likely have a fair game on the ground.

But they will have to do so without starting quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, out for a sholder injury. The Steelers will face a larger difficulty than they would by having him on the field. The odds on this game at most of the online sportsbooks have the Ravens picked as 3 point favorites.

If Ravens’ quarterback Joe Flacco can continue hitting on 60% or more and hit his preferred wide receiver Torrey Smith as well as tight end Dennis Pitta and others then they may be difficult for the Steelers to conquer.

I think a lot of the game will hinge upon how effective the Ravens can stop Pittsburgh on the ground and how big of a game that Mendenhall has and whether backup quarterback Byron Leftwich can hit his receievers and can do so without throwing interceptions.

A tough call but I do believe the Ravens may well win the game but it might be difficult for them to make the point spread. so if you’re planning on betting on the Ravens, take the under.