Will the Green Bay Packers cover the point spread against the Detroit Lions in week 14?

Locked in a batttle for their a wild card spot in the NFC North with the Chicago Bears, the Green Bay Packers meet the Detroit Lions in week 14.

It is obvious that the Packers should end up in the post season, it just hasn’t been determined just where yet. With 4 regular season football games left, both Green Bay and Chicago are at 8 wins and 4 losses and only a half game behind the 49ers in a fight for the first round week off. If the Packers sweep the last four games and San Francisco loses one game, the Packers move ahead and get the bye. They have the edge over the Bears in a tie breaker.

But before we get to the playoffs, the Packers have to get past the Lions, and the following 3 games with Chicago, Tennessee and Minnesota. Ironically, the Bears play the Vikings this week and if they win that game, the NFC battle for the bye week could be decided next week when the Packers play the Bears.

The Sunday night game with the Lions and Packers looks like it will be a good game for a number of reasons. If you look at their league rank in offense and then look at their win loss record the numbers look askew. Green Bay is ranked 16th with an 8-4 record and the Lions are ranked 2nd with a 4-8 record.

The key to the Lions offense is quarterback Matthew Stafford and his number one receiver Calvin Johnson. Johnson has caught 86 passes for over 1400 yards, and Stafford also has 4 other receivers over 300 yards with one of them over 500.

The Detroit Lions just have had trouble winning games. In most of their losses it was just a case of a mistake here or there with a penalty or a fumble and other miscellaneous blown plays. With a 19th ranked defense there were times when an opponents offense would gain an edge that they just couldn’t get back.

What is the spread for the Packers against the Lions?

As of Friday night a number of the sports books have the Packers winning this game by 6.5 points. I personally think they can cover that.

Green Bay won when these two teams met two weeks ago and in that game Aaron Rodgers, quarterback for Green Bay completed 70% for 236 yards. The score in that game was Green Bay 24 to Detroit 20.

Keep in mind that the Packers have only lost 1 of their last 7 football games, to the Giants two weeks ago in week 12. Rodgers is completing 67% of his passes, and although he will miss having wide receiver Jordy Nelson, out with a hamstring injury; Randall Cobb, James Jones and Jermichael Finley as well as others provide Rodgers a lot of choices to throw to.

With the line at 6.5, it a bit more conservative then 2 weeks ago, the books had the line at 9.5 for that game and they won by 4. Overall I see taking the Green Bay Packers winning and covering the spread as a safe bet.

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