Can the Houston Texans cover the point spread against the Indianapolis Colts in week 15?

Leading the AFC South the Houston Texans take on their 2nd place division rivals Indianapolis Colts in what is one of the most important games the Colts have had all year. The books have picked the Texans to win the game by 9.5 points.

At first glance I thought, yea no problem. But let’s look at this game a little closer since that might not be a smart bet. Sure the Texans are leading the division and currently hold the best record in the AFC, but that doesn’t give them an automatic pass.

The Colts have won 7 of their last 8 games so they have certainly made a number of corrections on both sides of the ball compared to the first few weeks in the regular season. Indianapolis is ranked 7th in offense overall and 8th in passing.

This will keep the Texans defense busy and certainly will not provide them with an easy win like some may think if they are simply looking at the win loss record alone. Quarterback Andrew Luck has had a number of very good games the last few weeks and he could possibly have a 300 yard game on Sunday.

The Texans have suffered a handful of injuries on their defensive line and this week line backer Brooks Reed as well as corner Alan Ball are out. Tackle Derek Newton and linebacker Darryl Sharpton are questionable but with adjustments to their line they are still a threat.

Can the Indianapolis Colts upset the Houston Texans and win?

I don’t really think so. On the defense they have JJ Watt a defensive end that is just having a phenomenal year. He currently has 16.5 sacks which is second in the league this year. That makes him a huge threat to any quarterback, and Andrew Luck will likely find himself on the ground at least a few times because of this man.

Texan quarterback Matt Schaub is completing just over 64% of his passing attempts and is averaging a little over 7 yards per reception with Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels his most common go to guys, but they aren’t the only ones. He has a few other receivers, ends and backs he can choose from as well.

The Texans also have a bit of a run game too. In fact Adrian Foster has 1148 yards and 14 touchdowns. Whether it’s the game on the ground or what they are able to do in the air that does the trick, it will likely be the fact that the Texans have a much more well rounded game offense that wins the football game for them.

The most difficult choice I must make is whether the Texans can cover the spread. If the Colts can come out and get the edge early in the game, or at least match scoring drives in the first half then the ability for Houston to cover will be cut by a large amount.

Yes I am picking the Texans to win this game. But I think they will have enough difficulty making the spread that as long as the line stays at 9.5 then I would end up taking the Colts. I look for the Texans to win by 6.

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