A brief look at why the New England Patriots will cover the spread against the Miami Dolphins in week 13

In one of the early games on Sunday afternoon this week is the game between the Miami Dolphins and the New England Patriots. It is actually an important game for both teams, but it is make or brake time for the Dolphins.

They are in the hunt for a spot in the wild card, but they can not make any mistakes. The Dolphins are at 5 wins and 6 losses which puts them one behind the Bengals going in to this week. Looking at the schedule of the games left we see that Miami plays the Patriots Sunday, they play San Francisco next week, than back home for Jacksonville, on to Buffalo the following week, then New England again in the last week of regular season.

They have a much better chance of picking up the wins from the Jaguars and the Bills than they will with NE and SF. Let’s take a brief look at why the point spread is at 9 points in favor of New England to win.

Miami’s only saving grace in this game I think could possibly come from their running game. Miam has a pair of nice running backs with Reggie Bush and Daniel Thomas. We all know that stranger things have happened in games and a team will upset a game because of a player or two will have really big games.

I am not predicting that will happen, but if it were to occur, these two would likely have the biggest hand in that happening. Do I think that is much of a possibility? No.

What is the likelihood of the Patriots making the points?

That is very high and here is why. Just look at their offense. They are ranked #1 in the league right now. Their passing game is ranked 4th and they are ranked 6th in their running game.

Quarterback Tom Brady is having an exceptional year. He has thrown for over 3000 yards and is hitting his receivers over 65% of the time.

Any conversation about the best quarterbacks in the league would have Tom Brady’s name broght up within the conversation. And when you speak about the talent that he has, you can not forget to mention the talent of his receivers.

He has so many weapons to get the receptions at his disposal. Just to name a few he has wide receivers Wes Walker and Brandon Lloyd. Welker has 961 yards and Lloyd has 561 and each one of them have 3 touchdowns. And if your wonder who else is among his favorite men in the secondary, you must mention tight end Rob Gronkowski. He has 748 yards this year and 10 touchdowns and a likely candidate in Sunday’s game to add to that total.

And these 3 are only scratching the surface of receivers that he can drop the ball off to. And don’t forget their running game. They have so many different packages that they can put together using guys like Stevan Ridley, Danny Woodhead, Brandon Bolden, Shane Vereen and others. Ridley himself has over 900 yards and is averaging about 4.6 yards per carry.

Like I said earlier, the odds on this game have the Patriots winning by 9 points. I think you must take New England and give up the points and I would not take Miami even if the points would be a bit higher. I honestly think the Patriots could conceivably win this game by two touchdowns so I don’t think that making 9 will be much of a problem.

I have a few different books I recommend you set up an account for betting on football or any other betting needs. For US Players check out the odds at Bet Online or Sportsbetting and for the non US residents or the UK players check out William Hill.